Genshin Impact Crafting Table Choose 25% Chance of Refund or 10% Chance of Double

Should you choose a 10% double or a 25% return on the Genshin Impact Crafting Table?

Answer:

1、If you want to get more materials, it is recommended to use the 10% double character. The more times you craft, the higher the yield (for example, 100 times, 200 times).

2、If the number of crafting times is less, the difference between the two is not significant (for example, 30 times).

According to experiments by MiHoYo experts,

After 610 crafting times, Sucrose has a 10% chance of doubling, and a total of 63 high-level materials are obtained additionally, equivalent to 189 lower-level materials.

After 610 crafting times, Diona has a 25% chance of additional return, and a total of 152 lower-level materials are returned additionally.

3、The problem of secondary crafting of returned materials

Diona returns 152 lower-level materials. According to the absolute probability of 25% return for crafting high-level materials,

152 is calculated as 51 times of crafting, and another 12.75 lower-level materials can be returned,

12.75 is calculated as 4.25 times of crafting, and another 1.06 lower-level materials can be returned,

1.06 crafting can return another 0.26 lower-level material.

In total, you get lower-level materials 152+12.75+4.25+0.26=169

Secondary crafting cycles indefinitely until there are no lower-level materials returned in the end, let’s say you get 170, which is still 19 lower-level materials less than Sucrose’s 10% probability return of 189.

Crafting one more time will consume extra Mora, each crafting costs 50 Mora, and the extra Mora consumed is

(51+4.25+0.35)*50=2780 Mora.

more：

"Resounding Melodies" Bundle Evaluate and Recommendation in Genshin Impact